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Ligue 1 Predictions

French league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 17 May 2025

Kick-off times in French time (CET/CEST)

Free French football predictions for 17 May 2025, showing only matches from Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

French football had ten fixtures on Saturday 17 May 2025 across two competitions, led by Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

The model's standout reads were Marseille vs Rennes for over 2.5 goals at 77%, Marseille vs Rennes for both teams to score at 72%, and Lyon as the strongest favourite at 59% (Lyon vs Angers). Treat them as model output rather than a guide to what will happen.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 logo

Ligue 1 predictions

9 matches Β· France Ligue 1 hub →
Lens
4 : 0 FT
Monaco
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
Lyon
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
Marseille
4 : 2 FT
Rennes
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Nantes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Nantes Clean Sheet 57%
Nice
6 : 0 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Paris Saint Germain
3 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Saint Etienne
2 : 3 FT
Toulouse
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Strasbourg
2 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Ligue 2 logo

Ligue 2 predictions

1 match Β· France Ligue 2 hub →
Metz
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing all 10 French fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

French Football β€” common questions

Which French leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in France include Ligue 1, Ligue 2 and Coupe de France; other French competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 17 May 2025 the page lists Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.

How many French matches were predicted on Saturday 17 May 2025?

ten French fixtures across two competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Marseille vs Rennes at 77%.

How are French football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in French time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in French time (CET/CEST, the Europe/Paris time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find French over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Ligue 1 and Ligue 2. The "French Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top French fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.