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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 28 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

31%

Saint Etienne

3.18

22%

Draw

4.53

46%

PAU

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.46

1.91

PAU xG

31%
22%
46%
Saint EtienneDrawPAU

3.18

31%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

2.15

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.04

Clean Sheet

15%

Saint Etienne

6.77

21%

PAU

4.69

Win to Nil

5%

Saint Etienne

21.54

10%

PAU

10.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.0 5.8 3.7 1.8 0.7
1 4.9 9.3 8.9 5.7 2.7 1.0
2 3.8 7.2 6.9 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.7 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.546
λ Away (xG) 1.913
Total xG 3.459
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.231
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.203
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.337
PAU attack strength 1.162
PAU defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 45