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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

56%

Saint Etienne

1.77

22%

Draw

4.50

21%

Grenoble

4.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.99

1.08

Grenoble xG

56%
22%
21%
Saint EtienneDrawGrenoble

1.77

56%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

4.69

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

34%

Saint Etienne

2.96

15%

Grenoble

6.71

Win to Nil

19%

Saint Etienne

5.24

3%

Grenoble

31.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.6 10.4 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.904
λ Away (xG) 1.085
Total xG 2.989
League avg home goals 1.326
League avg away goals 1.099
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.206
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.972
Grenoble attack strength 1.015
Grenoble defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37