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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

55%

Saint Etienne

1.81

25%

Draw

3.95

19%

Dunkerque

5.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.01

1.08

Dunkerque xG

55%
25%
19%
Saint EtienneDrawDunkerque

1.81

55%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

5.16

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

34%

Saint Etienne

2.96

15%

Dunkerque

6.86

Win to Nil

19%

Saint Etienne

5.35

3%

Dunkerque

35.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.3 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.9 6.4 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.926
λ Away (xG) 1.085
Total xG 3.011
League avg home goals 1.172
League avg away goals 1.144
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.351
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.892
Dunkerque attack strength 1.064
Dunkerque defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63