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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul-Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

43%

Rodez

2.30

31%

Draw

3.19

25%

Montpellier

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Rodez xG

Total xG

1.88

0.77

Montpellier xG

43%
31%
25%
RodezDrawMontpellier

2.30

43%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.78

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

46%

Rodez

2.16

33%

Montpellier

3.03

Win to Nil

20%

Rodez

4.98

8%

Montpellier

12.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3 11.7 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.9 13.0 5.0 1.3 0.2
2 9.4 7.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 3.5 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 0.770
Total xG 1.880
League avg home goals 1.164
League avg away goals 1.207
Rodez attack strength 1.008
Rodez defence strength 0.918
Montpellier attack strength 0.695
Montpellier defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 23