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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul-Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

39%

Rodez

2.53

26%

Draw

3.80

34%

Le Mans

2.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Rodez xG

Total xG

2.60

1.24

Le Mans xG

39%
26%
34%
RodezDrawLe Mans

2.53

39%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.93

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

29%

Rodez

3.47

26%

Le Mans

3.88

Win to Nil

11%

Rodez

8.78

9%

Le Mans

11.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.8 8.5 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.1 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.243
Total xG 2.600
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.181
Rodez attack strength 0.992
Rodez defence strength 0.956
Le Mans attack strength 1.101
Le Mans defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18