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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul-Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

51%

Rodez

1.95

28%

Draw

3.53

20%

Boulogne

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Rodez xG

Total xG

2.07

0.73

Boulogne xG

51%
28%
20%
RodezDrawBoulogne

1.95

51%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

48%

Rodez

2.08

26%

Boulogne

3.82

Win to Nil

25%

Rodez

4.05

5%

Boulogne

18.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 9.2 3.4 0.8 0.1
1 16.9 12.3 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 11.3 8.3 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 5.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 0.730
Total xG 2.070
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.154
Rodez attack strength 0.889
Rodez defence strength 0.895
Boulogne attack strength 0.707
Boulogne defence strength 1.107
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 37 / 2