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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Paul Lignon

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rodez Win

45%

Rodez

2.24

26%

Draw

3.91

30%

Bastia

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Rodez xG

Total xG

2.67

1.18

Bastia xG

45%
26%
30%
RodezDrawBastia

2.24

45%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

31%

Rodez

3.24

22%

Bastia

4.46

Win to Nil

14%

Rodez

7.26

7%

Bastia

14.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 12.2 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.1 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.5 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.495
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.008
Rodez attack strength 1.107
Rodez defence strength 1.336
Bastia attack strength 0.873
Bastia defence strength 1.042
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59