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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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RED Star FC 93 and Montpellier share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Stade Bauer, Regular Season - 34, as RED Star FC 93 and Montpellier drew 1-1 in the Ligue 2. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting RED Star FC 93 0.94 xG and Montpellier 0.94 xG, a combined 1.88. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RED Star FC 93 attack 1.11 / defence 1.06 against Montpellier attack 0.71 / defence 0.70, drawn from 66/33 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it RED Star FC 93 32% | Draw 36% | Montpellier 32%, with the draw its most likely call at 36%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 58% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 39% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RED Star FC 93 50%, Montpellier 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 45%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

RED Star FC 93's trading profile (66 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and conceded here.

Montpellier's trading profile (66 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 39% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, RED Star FC 93 arrived the stronger side — 1.39 PPG against 0.98. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights