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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

35%

PAU

2.86

28%

Draw

3.57

37%

Saint Etienne

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

PAU xG

Total xG

2.76

1.40

Saint Etienne xG

35%
28%
37%
PAUDrawSaint Etienne

2.86

35%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

25%

PAU

4.07

26%

Saint Etienne

3.90

Win to Nil

9%

PAU

11.63

9%

Saint Etienne

10.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.9 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.6 12.0 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.2 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.360
λ Away (xG) 1.404
Total xG 2.764
League avg home goals 1.112
League avg away goals 1.151
PAU attack strength 1.132
PAU defence strength 1.361
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.896
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24