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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

51%

PAU

1.97

25%

Draw

4.05

25%

Rodez

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

PAU xG

Total xG

2.68

1.05

Rodez xG

51%
25%
25%
PAUDrawRodez

1.97

51%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

4.08

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

35%

PAU

2.86

20%

Rodez

5.09

Win to Nil

18%

PAU

5.64

5%

Rodez

20.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.2 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.2 11.7 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.6 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.680
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.041
PAU attack strength 0.994
PAU defence strength 0.870
Rodez attack strength 1.161
Rodez defence strength 1.289
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60