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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

29%

PAU

3.45

27%

Draw

3.68

44%

Montpellier

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

PAU xG

Total xG

2.54

1.43

Montpellier xG

29%
27%
44%
PAUDrawMontpellier

3.45

29%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

24%

PAU

4.16

33%

Montpellier

3.03

Win to Nil

7%

PAU

14.33

14%

Montpellier

6.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 11.3 8.0 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.8 12.5 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 2.535
League avg home goals 1.120
League avg away goals 1.173
PAU attack strength 1.094
PAU defence strength 1.495
Montpellier attack strength 0.813
Montpellier defence strength 0.906
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27