Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

25%

PAU

4.04

24%

Draw

4.10

51%

Metz

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

PAU xG

Total xG

2.73

1.66

Metz xG

25%
24%
51%
PAUDrawMetz

4.04

25%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

19%

PAU

5.24

34%

Metz

2.94

Win to Nil

5%

PAU

21.17

17%

Metz

5.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 10.7 8.9 4.9 2.0 0.7
1 7.0 11.6 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.8 6.3 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.4
3 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.079
λ Away (xG) 1.656
Total xG 2.735
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 1.095
PAU attack strength 0.831
PAU defence strength 1.140
Metz attack strength 1.326
Metz defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31