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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

40%

PAU

2.53

25%

Draw

3.97

35%

Le Mans

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

PAU xG

Total xG

2.81

1.36

Le Mans xG

40%
25%
35%
PAUDrawLe Mans

2.53

40%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

26%

PAU

3.88

23%

Le Mans

4.27

Win to Nil

10%

PAU

9.82

8%

Le Mans

12.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.2 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2
1 8.8 11.9 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 8.6 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.1 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.452
λ Away (xG) 1.357
Total xG 2.809
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.214
PAU attack strength 0.985
PAU defence strength 1.069
Le Mans attack strength 1.047
Le Mans defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 14