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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

38%

PAU

2.61

25%

Draw

3.94

36%

Guingamp

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

PAU xG

Total xG

2.79

1.37

Guingamp xG

38%
25%
36%
PAUDrawGuingamp

2.61

38%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

25%

PAU

3.94

24%

Guingamp

4.12

Win to Nil

10%

PAU

10.25

9%

Guingamp

11.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.4 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.7 12.0 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.5 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 4.0 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 1.370
Total xG 2.786
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.102
PAU attack strength 0.869
PAU defence strength 1.078
Guingamp attack strength 1.153
Guingamp defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71