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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

40%

PAU

2.48

26%

Draw

3.84

34%

Boulogne

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

PAU xG

Total xG

2.65

1.25

Boulogne xG

40%
26%
34%
PAUDrawBoulogne

2.48

40%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

29%

PAU

3.50

25%

Boulogne

4.05

Win to Nil

12%

PAU

8.67

8%

Boulogne

12.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 6.9 8.6 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.399
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.652
League avg home goals 1.153
League avg away goals 1.171
PAU attack strength 1.121
PAU defence strength 1.281
Boulogne attack strength 0.835
Boulogne defence strength 1.083
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22