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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bastia Win

26%

PAU

3.81

30%

Draw

3.32

44%

Bastia

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

PAU xG

Total xG

2.33

1.35

Bastia xG

26%
30%
44%
PAUDrawBastia

3.81

26%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

26%

PAU

3.84

37%

Bastia

2.69

Win to Nil

7%

PAU

14.65

16%

Bastia

6.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 13.0 8.8 3.9 1.3 0.4
1 9.6 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.7 6.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.989
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.335
League avg home goals 1.088
League avg away goals 1.173
PAU attack strength 1.035
PAU defence strength 1.464
Bastia attack strength 0.784
Bastia defence strength 0.878
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 58