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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Charléty

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

50%

Paris FC

2.00

27%

Draw

3.75

23%

Lorient

4.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.35

0.90

Lorient xG

50%
27%
23%
Paris FCDrawLorient

2.00

50%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

4.29

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

41%

Paris FC

2.45

23%

Lorient

4.26

Win to Nil

20%

Paris FC

4.91

5%

Lorient

18.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 13.9 12.4 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.0 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.450
λ Away (xG) 0.898
Total xG 2.348
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.063
Paris FC attack strength 1.255
Paris FC defence strength 0.919
Lorient attack strength 0.919
Lorient defence strength 0.936
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25