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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Charléty

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

49%

Paris FC

2.03

25%

Draw

3.95

26%

Estac Troyes

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.61

1.05

Estac Troyes xG

49%
25%
26%
Paris FCDrawEstac Troyes

2.03

49%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

35%

Paris FC

2.86

21%

Estac Troyes

4.77

Win to Nil

17%

Paris FC

5.82

5%

Estac Troyes

18.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.086
Paris FC attack strength 1.293
Paris FC defence strength 0.986
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.980
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61