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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Picot

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nancy Win

38%

Nancy

2.66

28%

Draw

3.58

34%

PAU

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Nancy xG

Total xG

2.36

1.15

PAU xG

38%
28%
34%
NancyDrawPAU

2.66

38%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

32%

Nancy

3.16

30%

PAU

3.37

Win to Nil

12%

Nancy

8.38

10%

PAU

9.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.8 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 13.1 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.9 8.0 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.214
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.363
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.154
Nancy attack strength 0.827
Nancy defence strength 1.007
PAU attack strength 0.989
PAU defence strength 1.078
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 37