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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 28 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Marcel Picot

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

Nancy

3.18

40%

Draw

2.47

28%

Bastia

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

28.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

18.6%

Home win

0 – 1

17.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.67

Nancy xG

Total xG

1.27

0.61

Bastia xG

31%
40%
28%
NancyDrawBastia

3.18

31%

Home win

2.47

40%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

36%

Over 1.5

2.78

64%

Under 1.5

1.56

14%

Over 2.5

7.14

86%

Under 2.5

1.16

4%

Over 3.5

25.00

96%

Under 3.5

1.04

1%

Over 4.5

100.00

99%

Under 4.5

1.01

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

22%

BTTS Yes

4.51

78%

BTTS No

1.28

Clean Sheet

54%

Nancy

1.84

51%

Bastia

1.94

Win to Nil

17%

Nancy

5.84

14%

Bastia

6.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 28.0 17.0 5.2 1.1 0.2
1 18.6 11.3 3.4 0.7 0.1
2 6.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.665
λ Away (xG) 0.609
Total xG 1.274
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.231
Nancy attack strength 0.629
Nancy defence strength 0.978
Bastia attack strength 0.506
Bastia defence strength 0.862
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 44