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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

27%

Montpellier

3.67

24%

Draw

4.14

49%

Guingamp

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.87

1.67

Guingamp xG

27%
24%
49%
MontpellierDrawGuingamp

3.67

27%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

19%

Montpellier

5.33

30%

Guingamp

3.30

Win to Nil

5%

Montpellier

19.56

15%

Guingamp

6.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 9.5 8.0 4.4 1.9 0.6
1 6.8 11.4 9.5 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 4.0 6.8 5.7 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 1.674
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.235
League avg away goals 1.188
Montpellier attack strength 0.896
Montpellier defence strength 1.149
Guingamp attack strength 1.226
Guingamp defence strength 1.079
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 54