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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

47%

Montpellier

2.11

28%

Draw

3.52

24%

Grenoble

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.74

1.11

Grenoble xG

47%
28%
24%
MontpellierDrawGrenoble

2.11

47%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

33%

Montpellier

3.04

20%

Grenoble

5.08

Win to Nil

16%

Montpellier

6.41

5%

Grenoble

21.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.7 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.626
λ Away (xG) 1.112
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.180
League avg away goals 1.143
Montpellier attack strength 1.180
Montpellier defence strength 1.085
Grenoble attack strength 0.897
Grenoble defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 64