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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

36%

Montpellier

2.75

32%

Draw

3.15

32%

Estac Troyes

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.22

1.07

Estac Troyes xG

36%
32%
32%
MontpellierDrawEstac Troyes

2.75

36%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

34%

Montpellier

2.91

31%

Estac Troyes

3.18

Win to Nil

13%

Montpellier

7.99

10%

Estac Troyes

9.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 11.6 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.2 7.7 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 1.067
Total xG 2.223
League avg home goals 1.144
League avg away goals 1.158
Montpellier attack strength 1.158
Montpellier defence strength 0.992
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.929
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62