Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Mon 5 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

30%

Montpellier

3.36

28%

Draw

3.55

42%

Dunkerque

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.8%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.29

1.27

Dunkerque xG

30%
28%
42%
MontpellierDrawDunkerque

3.36

30%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

28%

Montpellier

3.56

36%

Dunkerque

2.78

Win to Nil

8%

Montpellier

11.97

15%

Dunkerque

6.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 12.8 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.3 6.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.8 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.021
λ Away (xG) 1.271
Total xG 2.292
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.162
Montpellier attack strength 0.894
Montpellier defence strength 1.008
Dunkerque attack strength 1.085
Dunkerque defence strength 0.890
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 51