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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

52%

Metz

1.92

22%

Draw

4.58

26%

Rodez

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Metz xG

Total xG

3.32

1.34

Rodez xG

52%
22%
26%
MetzDrawRodez

1.92

52%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

26%

Metz

3.83

14%

Rodez

7.21

Win to Nil

14%

Metz

7.35

4%

Rodez

27.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.9 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.1 9.6 6.5 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.5 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.6 6.2 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.3 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.976
λ Away (xG) 1.344
Total xG 3.320
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.082
Metz attack strength 1.259
Metz defence strength 1.035
Rodez attack strength 1.201
Rodez defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70