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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

48%

Metz

2.09

27%

Draw

3.73

25%

Estac Troyes

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Metz xG

Total xG

2.38

0.95

Estac Troyes xG

48%
27%
25%
MetzDrawEstac Troyes

2.09

48%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

39%

Metz

2.60

24%

Estac Troyes

4.16

Win to Nil

18%

Metz

5.41

6%

Estac Troyes

16.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.2 12.6 6.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.0 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.3 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.426
λ Away (xG) 0.954
Total xG 2.380
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.061
Metz attack strength 1.302
Metz defence strength 0.907
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.992
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.818
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65