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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Promotion Play-offs - Final

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

55%

Metz

1.81

22%

Draw

4.44

22%

Dunkerque

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Metz xG

Total xG

2.98

1.10

Dunkerque xG

55%
22%
22%
MetzDrawDunkerque

1.81

55%

Home win

4.44

22%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

33%

Metz

3.02

15%

Dunkerque

6.51

Win to Nil

18%

Metz

5.45

3%

Dunkerque

29.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.5 5.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.873
λ Away (xG) 1.104
Total xG 2.977
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.118
Metz attack strength 1.254
Metz defence strength 1.158
Dunkerque attack strength 0.853
Dunkerque defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 72