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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Francis Turcan

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

29%

Martigues

3.42

27%

Draw

3.68

44%

PAU

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Martigues xG

Total xG

2.42

1.36

PAU xG

29%
27%
44%
MartiguesDrawPAU

3.42

29%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

26%

Martigues

3.89

35%

PAU

2.89

Win to Nil

8%

Martigues

13.33

15%

PAU

6.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.0 6.8 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.060
λ Away (xG) 1.359
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.070
Martigues attack strength 0.727
Martigues defence strength 1.204
PAU attack strength 1.055
PAU defence strength 1.118
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 64