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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Francis Turcan

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

28%

Martigues

3.63

26%

Draw

3.85

46%

Metz

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Martigues xG

Total xG

2.57

1.49

Metz xG

28%
26%
46%
MartiguesDrawMetz

3.63

28%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.15

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

23%

Martigues

4.41

34%

Metz

2.95

Win to Nil

6%

Martigues

16.01

16%

Metz

6.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 11.4 8.5 4.2 1.6 0.5
1 8.3 12.3 9.2 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.5 6.7 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.081
λ Away (xG) 1.485
Total xG 2.566
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.039
Martigues attack strength 0.828
Martigues defence strength 1.175
Metz attack strength 1.216
Metz defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 29