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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Francis Turcan

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ajaccio Win

32%

Martigues

3.09

28%

Draw

3.52

39%

Ajaccio

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Martigues xG

Total xG

2.29

1.21

Ajaccio xG

32%
28%
39%
MartiguesDrawAjaccio

3.09

32%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

30%

Martigues

3.37

34%

Ajaccio

2.92

Win to Nil

10%

Martigues

10.42

13%

Ajaccio

7.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 12.3 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.8 7.1 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.073
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 2.287
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.061
Martigues attack strength 0.795
Martigues defence strength 1.256
Ajaccio attack strength 0.911
Ajaccio defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65