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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

61%

Lorient

1.65

20%

Draw

4.89

19%

PAU

5.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.21

1.10

PAU xG

61%
20%
19%
LorientDrawPAU

1.65

61%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

5.25

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

33%

Lorient

3.01

12%

PAU

8.27

Win to Nil

20%

Lorient

4.97

2%

PAU

43.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 8.5 9.4 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.3 7.0 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.3 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.113
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 3.215
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.039
Lorient attack strength 1.368
Lorient defence strength 0.952
PAU attack strength 1.115
PAU defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66