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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

66%

Lorient

1.50

20%

Draw

4.89

13%

Martigues

7.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.71

0.73

Martigues xG

66%
20%
13%
LorientDrawMartigues

1.50

66%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

7.67

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

48%

Lorient

2.09

14%

Martigues

7.19

Win to Nil

32%

Lorient

3.14

2%

Martigues

55.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 4.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 9.7 3.6 0.9 0.2
2 13.0 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 8.5 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 4.2 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.972
λ Away (xG) 0.735
Total xG 2.707
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.102
Lorient attack strength 1.489
Lorient defence strength 0.805
Martigues attack strength 0.828
Martigues defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33