Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

73%

Lorient

1.37

16%

Draw

6.44

11%

Caen

8.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

3 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.63

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.59

0.95

Caen xG

73%
16%
LorientDrawCaen

1.37

73%

Home win

6.44

16%

Draw

8.84

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

38%

Lorient

2.60

7%

Caen

13.92

Win to Nil

28%

Lorient

3.55

1%

Caen

123.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.3 7.0 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 9.6 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.4 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.5 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
5 2.9 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.633
λ Away (xG) 0.955
Total xG 3.588
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 1.095
Lorient attack strength 1.479
Lorient defence strength 0.872
Caen attack strength 1.000
Caen defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69