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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

55%

Lorient

1.80

24%

Draw

4.12

20%

Bastia

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.58

0.91

Bastia xG

55%
24%
20%
LorientDrawBastia

1.80

55%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

40%

Lorient

2.47

19%

Bastia

5.32

Win to Nil

22%

Lorient

4.46

4%

Bastia

26.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 12.7 11.5 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.6 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.672
λ Away (xG) 0.905
Total xG 2.577
League avg home goals 1.320
League avg away goals 1.069
Lorient attack strength 1.281
Lorient defence strength 0.984
Bastia attack strength 0.861
Bastia defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 64