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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

43%

Le Mans

2.34

26%

Draw

3.83

31%

Rodez

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.63

1.19

Rodez xG

43%
26%
31%
Le MansDrawRodez

2.34

43%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

30%

Le Mans

3.29

24%

Rodez

4.21

Win to Nil

13%

Le Mans

7.71

7%

Rodez

13.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 12.4 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 8.9 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.437
λ Away (xG) 1.191
Total xG 2.628
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.098
Le Mans attack strength 0.830
Le Mans defence strength 1.130
Rodez attack strength 0.959
Rodez defence strength 1.322
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 38