Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

35%

Le Mans

2.84

32%

Draw

3.11

33%

PAU

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.27

1.11

PAU xG

35%
32%
33%
Le MansDrawPAU

2.84

35%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

33%

Le Mans

3.03

31%

PAU

3.19

Win to Nil

12%

Le Mans

8.60

10%

PAU

9.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 11.5 6.4 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 12.0 13.3 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.160
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.268
League avg home goals 1.143
League avg away goals 1.152
Le Mans attack strength 0.909
Le Mans defence strength 0.791
PAU attack strength 1.216
PAU defence strength 1.117
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62