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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Marie-Marvingt

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

27%

Le Mans

3.75

30%

Draw

3.33

43%

Estac Troyes

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.85

Le Mans xG

Total xG

2.03

1.18

Estac Troyes xG

27%
30%
43%
Le MansDrawEstac Troyes

3.75

27%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

31%

Le Mans

3.24

43%

Estac Troyes

2.35

Win to Nil

8%

Le Mans

12.14

18%

Estac Troyes

5.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 15.4 9.1 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 11.2 13.2 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.8 5.6 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.854
λ Away (xG) 1.175
Total xG 2.029
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.252
Le Mans attack strength 0.729
Le Mans defence strength 0.983
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.955
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 42