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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Francis Le Basser

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

26%

Laval

3.79

29%

Draw

3.41

44%

Estac Troyes

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Laval xG

Total xG

2.10

1.23

Estac Troyes xG

26%
29%
44%
LavalDrawEstac Troyes

3.79

26%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

29%

Laval

3.41

42%

Estac Troyes

2.40

Win to Nil

8%

Laval

12.94

18%

Estac Troyes

5.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 15.0 9.2 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.7 13.1 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 4.7 5.7 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.875
λ Away (xG) 1.227
Total xG 2.102
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.214
Laval attack strength 0.749
Laval defence strength 1.076
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.940
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 48