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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

50%

Guingamp

1.99

30%

Draw

3.34

20%

Metz

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Guingamp xG

Total xG

1.90

0.66

Metz xG

50%
30%
20%
GuingampDrawMetz

1.99

50%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.91

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

52%

Guingamp

1.94

29%

Metz

3.45

Win to Nil

26%

Guingamp

3.87

6%

Metz

17.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 9.9 3.3 0.7 0.1
1 18.5 12.3 4.1 0.9 0.1
2 11.5 7.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
3 4.7 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.238
λ Away (xG) 0.662
Total xG 1.900
League avg home goals 1.256
League avg away goals 1.074
Guingamp attack strength 1.176
Guingamp defence strength 0.831
Metz attack strength 0.741
Metz defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22