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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade du Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

49%

Guingamp

2.03

25%

Draw

3.95

25%

Lorient

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Guingamp xG

Total xG

2.61

1.05

Lorient xG

49%
25%
25%
GuingampDrawLorient

2.03

49%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

35%

Guingamp

2.85

21%

Lorient

4.77

Win to Nil

17%

Guingamp

5.79

5%

Lorient

18.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.4 4.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.611
League avg home goals 1.383
League avg away goals 1.060
Guingamp attack strength 1.126
Guingamp defence strength 0.934
Lorient attack strength 1.058
Lorient defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29