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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade de Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

59%

Guingamp

1.69

22%

Draw

4.54

19%

Le Mans

5.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Guingamp xG

Total xG

2.87

0.97

Le Mans xG

59%
22%
19%
GuingampDrawLe Mans

1.69

59%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

5.32

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

38%

Guingamp

2.63

15%

Le Mans

6.68

Win to Nil

22%

Guingamp

4.45

3%

Le Mans

35.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 10.5 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.899
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.867
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.112
Guingamp attack strength 1.034
Guingamp defence strength 1.024
Le Mans attack strength 0.850
Le Mans defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0