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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade du Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

54%

Guingamp

1.84

25%

Draw

3.96

20%

Bastia

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Guingamp xG

Total xG

2.44

0.86

Bastia xG

54%
25%
20%
GuingampDrawBastia

1.84

54%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

4.88

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

42%

Guingamp

2.37

21%

Bastia

4.84

Win to Nil

23%

Guingamp

4.36

4%

Bastia

23.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 13.8 11.9 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.4 4.0 1.2 0.2
3 5.7 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.577
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.438
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.082
Guingamp attack strength 1.107
Guingamp defence strength 1.021
Bastia attack strength 0.779
Bastia defence strength 1.014
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70