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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade des Alpes

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grenoble Win

46%

Grenoble

2.17

31%

Draw

3.26

23%

Ajaccio

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Grenoble xG

Total xG

1.91

0.74

Ajaccio xG

46%
31%
23%
GrenobleDrawAjaccio

2.17

46%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.78

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

48%

Grenoble

2.09

31%

Ajaccio

3.22

Win to Nil

22%

Grenoble

4.54

7%

Ajaccio

13.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.4 12.8 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.1 7.5 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.3
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.169
λ Away (xG) 0.738
Total xG 1.907
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.061
Grenoble attack strength 0.938
Grenoble defence strength 0.874
Ajaccio attack strength 0.797
Ajaccio defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63