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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

53%

Estac Troyes

1.90

28%

Draw

3.57

19%

RED Star FC 93

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.06

0.70

RED Star FC 93 xG

53%
28%
19%
Estac TroyesDrawRED Star FC 93

1.90

53%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

50%

Estac Troyes

2.01

26%

RED Star FC 93

3.91

Win to Nil

26%

Estac Troyes

3.82

5%

RED Star FC 93

20.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 8.9 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 17.3 12.1 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 11.8 8.3 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 5.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 0.700
Total xG 2.063
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.039
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.875
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.843
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.800
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 28