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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

49%

Estac Troyes

2.02

26%

Draw

3.81

24%

Montpellier

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.58

1.02

Montpellier xG

49%
26%
24%
Estac TroyesDrawMontpellier

2.02

49%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

36%

Estac Troyes

2.78

21%

Montpellier

4.75

Win to Nil

18%

Estac Troyes

5.62

5%

Montpellier

19.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.559
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 2.580
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.170
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.987
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.881
Montpellier attack strength 0.990
Montpellier defence strength 1.101
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 2