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Estac Troyes vs Martigues – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

46%

Estac Troyes

2.16

27%

Draw

3.67

26%

Martigues

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.35

0.97

Martigues xG

46%
27%
26%
Estac TroyesDrawMartigues

2.16

46%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

38%

Estac Troyes

2.64

25%

Martigues

3.98

Win to Nil

18%

Estac Troyes

5.68

7%

Martigues

15.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 9.2 4.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 13.2 12.8 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.8 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.350
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 0.998
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.792
Estac Troyes defence strength 1.014
Martigues attack strength 0.958
Martigues defence strength 1.289
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15