Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

48%

Estac Troyes

2.09

27%

Draw

3.75

25%

Guingamp

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.40

0.97

Guingamp xG

48%
27%
25%
Estac TroyesDrawGuingamp

2.09

48%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

38%

Estac Troyes

2.64

24%

Guingamp

4.20

Win to Nil

18%

Estac Troyes

5.51

6%

Guingamp

16.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.7 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.0 12.6 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.0 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.436
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.405
League avg home goals 1.184
League avg away goals 1.143
Estac Troyes attack strength 1.195
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.734
Guingamp attack strength 1.155
Guingamp defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39