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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 14 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

44%

Estac Troyes

2.26

27%

Draw

3.66

28%

Guingamp

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.38

1.03

Guingamp xG

44%
27%
28%
Estac TroyesDrawGuingamp

2.26

44%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

36%

Estac Troyes

2.79

26%

Guingamp

3.88

Win to Nil

16%

Estac Troyes

6.29

7%

Guingamp

13.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.9 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.356
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.382
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.070
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.990
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.817
Guingamp attack strength 1.174
Guingamp defence strength 1.050
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64