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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

47%

Estac Troyes

2.14

26%

Draw

3.80

27%

Grenoble

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.49

1.04

Grenoble xG

47%
26%
27%
Estac TroyesDrawGrenoble

2.14

47%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

35%

Estac Troyes

2.82

23%

Grenoble

4.28

Win to Nil

17%

Estac Troyes

6.03

6%

Grenoble

15.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.1 12.5 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.455
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.491
League avg home goals 1.610
League avg away goals 1.185
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.892
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.870
Grenoble attack strength 1.005
Grenoble defence strength 1.013
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34